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2003 Annual Report

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Schedule M - Eckler Partners Ltd. Investment Summary as at March 31, 2003

Overview

Total assets consist of two main components:

  • An Investible Fund, split into two two portfolios

    • Long Term Fund investing in real return bonds, equities and other bonds

    • Short Term Fund investing in short term bonds

  • A Notional Fund, consisting of amounts owed by the provincial governments

  • Investible assets are managed by TD Asset Management, either passively or on an indexed basis

  • Royal Trust are the custodians of the investible assets

  • Our analysis is based on statements provided by both Royal Trust and TD Asset Management as well as previous performance analyses done by Towers Perrin

  • In particular
    • All dollar amounts, including asset values and cashflows, are taken from Royal Trust accounts
       
    • Returns after March 2002 are derived from the TD quarterly statements and have not been independently verified
       
    • Returns prior to April 2002 are mainly from Towers Perrin reports
  • TD Asset Management is required to certify that it has complied with the investment guidelines specified by the trustees. We have not verified that this has taken place or that the guidelines have been complied with.


Asset Summary ($,000's)







 

 

 

 

Mar - 03
Mar - 02

Fund

Portfolio

Strategy

Bench-
Mark

Value

Asset Alloc

Fund
Alloc

Value

Asset Alloc

Fund

Alloc

Long term

Real Return Bonds

Passive

80.0%

570,260

84.4%

 

485,616

79.6%

 

 

Universe Bonds

Index

6.0%

40,327

6.0%

 

37,654

6.2%

 

 

Canadian Equity

Index

7.0%

35,046

5.2%

 

43,599

7.1%

 

 

US Equity

Index

3.5%

15,088

2.2%

 

21,569

3.5%

 

 

EAFE Equity

Index

3.5%

15,032

2.2%

 

21,713

3.6%

 

 

Cash

 

0.0%

16

0.0%

 

10

0.0%

 

 

 

 

100.0%

675,768

100.0%

64.4%

610,160

100.0%

57.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term Bonds

Index

 

117,906

 

 

177,609

 

 

 

Cash

 

 

366

 

 

258

 

 

 

 

 

 

118,272

 

11.3%

177,868

 

16.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Invested Assets *

 

 

 

794,040

 

75.7%

788,028

 

74.7%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Provinces Notional Assets (net of prepayments)

 

 

 

254,761

 

24.3%

267,342

 

25.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Assets

 

 

 

1,048,801

 

100.0%

1,055,370

 

100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Total Invested Assets includes prepayments from Alberta and Ontario

 

 

 

 

 











 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Split of Invested Assets between:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long Term Fund

 

 

 

85.1%

 

 

77.4%

 

Short Term Fund

 

 

 

14.9%

 

 

22.6%

 

Total Invested Assets

 

 

 

100.0%

 

 

100.0%

Totals may not add due to rounding

May 30, 2003


Comments on Asset Summary

As of March 31, 2003

  • Real return bonds are currently 4.4% above their benchmark of 80% of the Long Term Fund

    • At March 31, 2002 they were close to benchmark (0.4% below)

    • This increase is largely the result of the differences in relative returns for the different asset classes

      • Strongly positive for real return bond, negative for equities

    • Mitigated by TD Asset Management transferring $9.9m from the real return bond portfolio over the period
  • Universe bonds are at their benchmark
  • Equities are below their benchmark due mainly to poor performance relative to real return and universe bonds
  • PT Notional Funds are net of prepayments by Alberta and Ontario
  • As a percentage of the Invested Assets, the Long Term Fund has increased from 77.4% to 85.1%, while the Short Term Fund has decreased from 22.6% to 14.9% during the fiscal year


Asset Development ($,000's)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Invested Assets (1)

 

 

 

Real Return Bond Fund

Other Long Term Funds

Short Term Fund

Invested Assets

Provinces Notional Assets 1

Total Assets

Initial, at April 1, 2002

485,617

124,543

177,868

788,028

267,342

1,055,370

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment Income

(realized and unrealized)

93,790

(17,072)

10,217

86,935

6,769

93,704

Inflow: Recoveries from Provinces

722

629

17,998

19,350

(19,350)

-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outflow: Benefit Payments

-

-

(91,981)

(91,981)

-

(91,981)

Expenses

-

-

(8,293)

(8,293)

-

(8,293)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Transfers between funds

(9,863)

(2,599)

12,462

-

-

-

 





Closing, at March 31, 2003

570,267 (2)

105,501 (2)

118,272

794,040

254,761

1,048,801

 

May 30, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1) Invested Assets include PT prepayments; Provinces' Notional Assets are net of prepayments

(2) These figures differ slightly from those on page 2 because of allocation of cash balances

Totals may not add due to rounding

May 30,2003

 

 


Comments on Asset Development

  • Total invested assets (i.e. excluding PT assets) have increased over the year to March 31, 2003 by $6.0m

    • As a result of investment returns exceeding the “federal” 8/11ths share of the total payouts
  • The notional PT assets have decreased by $12.6m

    • Interest credits are at T-bill rates and hence relatively lower
  • Total assets (i.e. including PT assets) have decreased by $6.6m
  • Benefits are paid from the Short Term Fund
  • Prior to June 2002 the 3/11ths recoveries from the provinces were allocated to both the Short Term and Long Term Funds
  • From June 2002 onwards all recoveries from the provinces were allocated to the Short Term Fund

    • This practice is expected to continue in the future
  • TD Asset Management made transfers from the Long Term Fund to the Short Term Fund of $12.5m

    • $9.9m from real return bonds in December 2002

    • $2.6m from other long term funds after December 2002


Expansion of PT Assets ($,000's)

 

Less: prepayments

 

 

Gross PT Assets

Ontario

Alberta

Net PT Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Initial, at April 1, 2002

276,940

5,201

4,397

267,342

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Credits

6,873

31

73

6,769

 

 

 

 

 

Additional Prepayments

-

-

-

-

 

 

 

 

 

3/11 th share of benefits/expenses

(27,452)

(5,223)

(2,879)

(19,350)

 

 

 

 

 

Closing, At March 31, 2003

256,361

9

1,591

254,761

 

  • Ontario 's prepayments were used up by August 2002. They started making cash payments to cover their share of the benefits/expenses in September 2002; these subsequent amounts are include in the PT recoveries on page 5

  • Ontario 's prepayment balance is now negligible

  • Alberta made no further payments during the year, using its initial prepayment balance towards its cost requirements

May 31, 2003


Investment Returns

 

 

Fiscal Year ending

Quarterly Returns Fiscal 2003

Fund

Portfolio

2001

2002

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long term

Real Return Bonds

11.3%

2.3%

19.7%

7.0%

4.7%

1.2%

5.5%

 

Universe Bonds

8.8%

5.1%

9.2%

3.2%

4.3%

2.2%

-0.7%

 

Canadian Equity

-17.4%

5.0%

-17.0%

-8.3%

-12.9%

7.5%

-3.4%

 

US Equity

-15.2%

1.2%

-30.9%

-17.5%

-13.8%

7.7%

-9.9%

 

EAFE Equity

-19.9%

-7.0%

-29.5%

-6.8%

-16.4%

6.0%

-14.6%

   






 

Total

7.0%

2.3%

12.6%

4.3%

2.3%

1.9%

3.6%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term

Short Term Bonds

9.0%

5.9%

7.0%

2.5%

2.9%

1.7%

-0.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Invested Assets

 

7.5%

3.5%

11.7%

3.9%

2.5%

1.9%

2.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notional PT Assets

 

5.6%

3.5%

2.6%

0.6%

0.7%

0.7%

0.7%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Assets

 

7.1%

3.6%

9.4%

3.1%

2.0%

1.6%

2.4%

 

Notes:

  • Returns for the fiscal years 2001 and 2002 are as reported in the Towers Perrin Investment Performance Summary March 2002.

  • Quarterly returns for the component portfolios for the fiscal year 2003 are as reported by TD Asset Management in their quarterly investment reports. EPL has not independently verified these.

  • Aggregated quarterly returns (Total Long Term, Total Invested Assets and Total Assets) are calculated by EPL taking into account the relative market values, cashflows and investment returns of the component portfolios.

  • Returns for the fiscal year 2003 are calculated by EPL based on the quarterly returns shown above.

  • EPL returns are calculated on an approximate basis, using average cashflows; they may differ lightly from returns calculated by a performance measurement service using daily cashflows.

May 31, 2003


Comments on Investment Returns

  • The overall return of 9.4% for fiscal 2003 is the result of

    • positive returns from

      Real Return Bonds
      19.7%
      Universe Bonds
      9.2%
      Short Term Fund
      7.0%
      Notional Fund
      2.6%


    • reduced by the negative returns on equity components of the Invested Assets
  • A similar pattern was seen in 2001


Tracking Error

   
Fiscal Year Ending
 
Target tracking error
   
2001
2002
2003
 
1 year
4 years

Universe Bonds

Actual

8.8%

5.1%

9.2%

 

 

 

 

Index

8.7%

5.1%

9.1%

 

 

 

 

t/e

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

 

0.2%

0.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canadian Equity

Actual

-17.4%

5.0%

-17.0%

 

 

 

 

Index

-18.6%

4.9%

-17.6%

 

 

 

 

t/e

1.2%

0.1%

0.6%

 

0.3%

0.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Equity

Actual

-15.2%

1.2%

-30.9%

 

 

 

 

Index

-15.2%

1.4%

-30.8

 

 

 

 

t/e

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.1%

 

0.3%

0.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EAFE Equity

Actual

-19.9%

-7.0%

-29.5%

 

 

 

 

Index

-19.6%

-7.3%

-29.2%

 

 

 

 

t/e

-0.3%

0.3%

-0.3%

 

0.6%

0.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short Term Bonds

Actual

9.0%

5.9%

7.0%

 

 

 

 

Index

8.9%

5.8%

7.0%

 

 

 

 

t/e

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

 

0.2%

0.1%

 

  • Actual Returns for the fiscal years 2001 and 2002 are as reported in the Towers Perrin Investment Performance Summary March 2002

  • Actual returns for the fiscal year 2003 are calculated by EPL based on the quarterly returns reported by the TD Asset Management

  • Index Returns for all years are calculated by EPL, based on quarterly index returns reported by TD Asset Management

May 30, 2003


Comments on Tracking Error

  • Canadian Equity has a positive tracking error outside the target range for fiscal 2001 and 2003

  • All other portfolios meet their tracking error target

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